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The evolution of overconfidence. (Sept 2011)

"The fact that overconfident populations are evolutionarily stable may help to explain why overconfidence remains prevalent, even if it contributes to hubris, market bubbles, financial collapses, policy failures, disasters and...

Written by: Johnson and Fowler.

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Power and over-confident decision-making. (2011)

"In 2009, British Petroleum (BP) executives confidently down-played potential risks associated with their Gulf of Mexico oil rig, assuring regulators that it was virtually impossible for a major accident to...

Written by: Fast, Sivanathan, Mayer and Galinsky.

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